Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 68.902459 77.763050 86.839242 96.799176 107.390350 118.287009 130.315918
2025-07-20 56.287213 69.117550 82.861286 98.546346 115.825827 134.166770 154.994311
2025-07-27 47.501001 62.359087 78.831254 98.174709 120.014844 143.684142 171.056576
2025-08-03 40.490315 56.633671 75.108057 97.357884 123.012146 151.298230 184.494122
2025-08-10 35.619813 52.804275 73.037174 97.941022 127.162853 159.837635 198.636004
2025-08-17 30.926842 48.688728 70.210659 97.268740 129.549582 166.116992 210.003033
2025-08-24 27.378165 45.648648 68.387682 97.527244 132.801477 173.209089 222.143855
2025-08-31 23.743969 42.145258 65.709227 96.505224 134.333780 178.147510 231.674582
2025-09-07 21.529957 40.339598 65.013606 97.783213 138.509929 186.091174 244.618527
2025-09-14 19.698076 38.890718 64.648315 99.367875 142.976930 194.320940 257.857442
2025-09-21 17.200824 36.248324 62.531191 98.584676 144.427413 198.879703 266.721699
2025-09-28 14.544238 33.097259 59.525847 96.488883 144.115468 201.220928 272.879011
2025-10-05 13.917901 33.068301 60.828424 100.057226 150.955494 212.281264 289.517706
2025-10-12 12.879636 32.281354 61.009211 102.107785 155.868272 221.009799 303.399903
2025-10-19 11.242162 30.329333 59.409153 101.685029 157.567422 225.767941 312.488170
2025-10-26 9.673660 28.309639 57.583988 100.858349 158.673406 229.743571 320.593879
2025-11-02 8.615188 27.076675 56.842138 101.452395 161.569419 235.897902 331.315342
2025-11-09 7.375743 25.341265 55.234720 100.766424 162.739605 239.869975 339.358387
2025-11-16 6.464860 24.122741 54.346051 101.030237 165.114399 245.316976 349.182738
2025-11-23 5.402363 22.421398 52.591986 99.987081 165.703497 248.485087 356.189091
2025-11-30 4.864035 21.777474 52.493635 101.291490 169.400261 255.558622 367.992189
2025-12-07 4.424169 21.294226 52.625050 102.908712 173.506075 263.148039 380.437426
2025-12-14 3.661918 19.893614 51.146080 102.109448 174.314261 266.524292 387.659739